Progreso vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
LFC
4 - 0
PRO
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
PRO
1 - 1
JUN
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 1
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
PRO
1 - 2
NAC
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 1
PRO
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
DEF
3 - 1
CSC
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BVS
0 - 2
DEF
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
REN
0 - 0
DEF
37%
26%
36%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 2
RIV
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 1
DEF
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |