Progreso vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1990 |
PEP
1 - 0
PRO
10%
20%
70%
|
71 | 21 | 50 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
MIN
1 - 3
PRO
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
DEF
0 - 0
PRO
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1987 |
PRO
3 - 0
AGU
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
PRO
0 - 0
ALI
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
MIN
0 - 0
DEF
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
PEP
1 - 0
DEF
11%
21%
68%
|
74 | 22 | 52 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
DEF
0 - 0
PRO
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1982 |
GRE
1 - 2
DEF
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1982 |
SAO
2 - 1
DEF
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |