Progreso vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
DEF
2 - 1
PRO
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 0
CER
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 1
PRO
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LFC
1 - 1
PRO
56%
22%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 2
PLA
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
DAN
0 - 1
PLA
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 2
DAN
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
DAN
1 - 3
RIV
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DAN
72%
19%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
DAN
0 - 1
MWA
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |