Progreso vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
BOS
1 - 1
PRO
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 1
RAC
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MWA
0 - 1
PRO
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 1
LFC
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 2
PRO
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 1
FEN
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
DAN
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 1
RIV
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CER
0 - 1
DAN
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
DAN
0 - 1
PLA
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |