Progreso vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 2
PRO
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 1
PEÑ
22%
25%
54%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 0
PRO
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
PRO
0 - 3
DEF
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
PRO
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
DAN
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 2
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
JUV
2 - 2
DAN
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 0
BOS
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
RAC
0 - 2
DAN
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |