Progreso vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 0
PRO
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 3
ORI
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 1
PRO
54%
24%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 0
DEP
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
PLA
2 - 0
PRO
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BOS
1 - 2
CEL
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CEL
5 - 2
ATE
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 2
CEL
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 0
CSC
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 1
CEL
53%
26%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |