Progreso vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 0
DAN
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 1
CER
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 2
RAC
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
NAC
6 - 1
PRO
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PRO
0 - 1
JUV
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 1
NAC
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MWA
2 - 1
CEL
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
DAN
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 0
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
FEN
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |