Progreso vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CSM
1 - 0
PRO
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 2
TOR
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 3
REN
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 0
PRO
57%
23%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 0
PRO
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CSC
0 - 3
ATE
31%
25%
43%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CSC
2 - 0
TAC
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 1
CSC
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CSC
0 - 3
DEP
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 0
CSC
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -2 |