Progreso vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 0
PRO
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 1
CEN
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LFC
6 - 0
PRO
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 0
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CSY
1 - 1
PRO
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
CSC
1 - 2
DEP
42%
27%
30%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 2
CSC
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CSC
4 - 2
HFC
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 1
CSC
54%
25%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CSC
1 - 1
CEN
35%
27%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |