Progreso vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
PLA
2 - 3
PRO
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BOS
0 - 0
PRO
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
PRO
3 - 1
ROC
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
PRO
2 - 1
HBU
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
PRO
1 - 2
CSM
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CSC
1 - 3
FEN
40%
26%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
DUR
2 - 2
CSC
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BOS
1 - 2
CSC
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
CSC
1 - 1
ROC
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
CSM
0 - 0
CSC
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |