Progreso vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 2
DAN
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 1
PRO
48%
28%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
UMO
1 - 0
PRO
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 1
JUN
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 1
PRO
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
ATE
1 - 1
JUN
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 0
ATE
62%
24%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ATE
2 - 1
JUV
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
ATE
0 - 1
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CSY
0 - 0
ATE
46%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |