Progresista vs UVCD Candean analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ERI
6 - 2
PRO
44%
21%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 3
MOS
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
PRO
20%
20%
61%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
TOM
58%
20%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MIG
1 - 0
PRO
48%
21%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UVCD Candean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 0
CHO
28%
21%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
JUV
3 - 5
CAN
85%
10%
6%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 4
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LTA
3 - 2
CAN
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 1
MON
65%
19%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |