Progresista vs SD Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GOI
3 - 3
PRO
39%
22%
40%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 0
GUI
67%
18%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 3
TEB
57%
21%
23%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 4
PRO
34%
22%
45%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
MOS
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SD Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SDC
2 - 3
OIE
49%
20%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SDC
4 - 1
OLI
65%
17%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GOI
5 - 1
SDC
57%
19%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SDC
5 - 1
GUI
44%
22%
35%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
SDC
2 - 4
TEB
26%
20%
55%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |