Progresista vs SD Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
PRO
6 - 0
SJR
70%
17%
14%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CUL
0 - 9
PRO
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
CAR
63%
19%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
COV
55%
21%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 1
PRO
21%
21%
57%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SD Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SDC
3 - 2
CUL
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
SDC
0 - 5
VIL
13%
17%
70%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 3
SDC
64%
18%
18%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ARB
0 - 2
SDC
52%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SDC
0 - 1
PRO
14%
18%
68%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |