Progresista vs Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
NEV
0 - 2
PRO
8%
15%
77%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 2
GOI
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
PRO
47%
23%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 1
CAL
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 3
PRO
19%
20%
61%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 2
CHO
52%
21%
26%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
RIV
35%
21%
45%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 2
CAS
42%
24%
35%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LTA
0 - 3
RIV
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |