Progresista vs Goian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
PRO
47%
23%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 1
CAL
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 3
PRO
19%
20%
61%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 3
ERI
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 0
PRO
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Goian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GOI
2 - 0
CHO
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 4
GOI
43%
21%
36%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GOI
2 - 3
CAS
49%
22%
29%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LTA
3 - 1
GOI
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GOI
3 - 2
MON
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |