Progresista vs CCD Chain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TOM
4 - 1
PRO
31%
22%
46%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PRO
2 - 1
GOI
56%
21%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LTA
4 - 1
PRO
33%
25%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PRO
3 - 0
RAC
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
XIN
2 - 0
PRO
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CCD Chain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 3
PON
44%
23%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ATV
0 - 0
CHA
52%
21%
27%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
CAL
43%
24%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 1
CHA
44%
23%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
4 - 0
NIE
41%
24%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +2 |