Progrès Niederkorn vs US Hostert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
2º
13º
2º
18
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MON
3 - 3
PRO
12%
21%
67%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JEU
0 - 1
PRO
24%
26%
51%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 0
WIL
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 3
PRO
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 0
KAE
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
USH
0 - 1
JEU
24%
23%
52%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 2
USH
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
USH
1 - 3
VIC
37%
24%
40%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
KAE
0 - 0
USH
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
USH
0 - 4
F91
9%
17%
74%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |