Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 0-3
Progrès Niederkorn vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 4
PRO
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 0
RUM
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 0
VIC
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
KAE
2 - 1
PRO
26%
27%
48%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 2
F91
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 2
SHR
32%
28%
41%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
BOH
3 - 1
SHR
29%
29%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
SHR
4 - 1
DER
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
SHR
5 - 1
SLR
61%
24%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
SMC
2 - 1
SHR
6%
15%
79%
|
77 | 10 | 67 | 0 |