Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 2-2
Progrès Niederkorn vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 0
RUM
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
JEU
1 - 1
PRO
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
RAC
5 - 0
PRO
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
TPE
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UNA
2 - 4
PRO
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAR
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 3
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
LLA
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABE
54%
23%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 2
CAR
25%
27%
49%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |