Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-1
Progrès Niederkorn vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
BUD
1 - 0
PRO
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 1
FKQ
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
FKQ
0 - 2
PRO
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
PRO
4 - 2
RAC
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
USH
1 - 6
PRO
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
BUD
4 - 0
VAR
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
BUD
1 - 0
PRO
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
BUD
3 - 2
SZO
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
BUD
4 - 0
RAB
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
RAB
2 - 1
BUD
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |