Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 1-3
Progrès Niederkorn vs AEL Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 0
GLA
22%
23%
56%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
GLA
1 - 0
PRO
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
RAC
4 - 5
PRO
29%
27%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PRO
4 - 1
LXC
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
TPE
0 - 3
PRO
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AEL Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
AEL
6 - 0
JOS
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
JOS
0 - 4
AEL
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AEL
3 - 2
OMO
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
AEK
1 - 1
AEL
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
AEL
2 - 0
ANO
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |