Progetto Sant.Elia vs Civitavecchia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progetto Sant.Elia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
PRO
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PRO
0 - 4
ACI
45%
25%
30%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 1
PRO
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 3
TOR
26%
24%
51%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SAS
3 - 0
PRO
73%
18%
9%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Civitavecchia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CIV
0 - 0
CYN
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ANZ
2 - 0
CIV
46%
24%
31%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
1 - 0
SAR
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
OST
3 - 0
CIV
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
2 - 2
ARZ
39%
25%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |