Progetto Sant.Elia vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progetto Sant.Elia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
AST
2 - 2
PRO
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 0
ATL
59%
21%
19%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CYN
1 - 5
PRO
48%
25%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 2
BAC
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CIV
2 - 1
PRO
58%
21%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
CYN
2 - 1
ARZ
30%
27%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ARZ
2 - 2
AST
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 0
ARZ
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 0
MON
50%
24%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BAC
1 - 1
ARZ
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |