Union Dietach vs Grün-Weiß Micheldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
10º
3º
35
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 31% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 69% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Dietach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
3 - 3
PWD
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
PWD
2 - 0
WEL
57%
20%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OST
3 - 2
PWD
20%
19%
61%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
PWD
1 - 2
UNP
73%
16%
12%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
STM
3 - 0
PWD
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
GRU
1 - 2
OED
24%
21%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
UMA
1 - 1
GRU
46%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
GRU
3 - 1
ASV
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
3 - 2
GRU
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
GRU
10 - 0
STA
88%
9%
4%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |