Pro Vasto vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Vasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
PRO
4 - 1
SDC
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CSL
1 - 0
PRO
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
PRO
1 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SRM
1 - 1
PRO
15%
23%
62%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PRO
2 - 0
MON
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
REC
1 - 0
SRM
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SDC
1 - 3
REC
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
REC
1 - 1
RCA
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 1
REC
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |