Pro Patria vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
PRO
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 2
RAV
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
VER
0 - 0
PRO
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
PRO
3 - 1
SPA
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CES
0 - 0
PRO
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
SSS
1 - 0
UNI
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VNZ
0 - 0
SSS
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 0
LEC
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 1
SSS
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 1
USC
31%
28%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |