Pro Desenzano vs Porto 2005 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Desenzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 3
DES
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DES
1 - 2
PSG
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
DES
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DES
2 - 1
BAG
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GHE
1 - 1
DES
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Porto 2005
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
GON
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
POR
79%
13%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
POR
1 - 3
NUO
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
POR
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
VIG
15%
20%
66%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |