Pro Desenzano vs Marmirolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Desenzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
DES
1 - 2
NUO
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
DES
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
DES
0 - 0
VIG
20%
21%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
DES
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
DES
0 - 2
CAS
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Marmirolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GON
0 - 2
MAR
21%
21%
57%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
LAZ
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
NUO
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 2
MAR
30%
23%
48%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
VIG
42%
23%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |