Prisons XI vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prisons XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PRI
2 - 1
MCS
56%
23%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
TOW
1 - 0
PRI
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PRI
2 - 1
TAF
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
MIS
0 - 1
PRI
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ORA
0 - 1
PRI
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 1
BOT
78%
16%
6%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
POL
0 - 0
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 2
BOT
20%
24%
57%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
EXT
1 - 4
BOT
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 4
ORA
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |