Prisons XI vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prisons XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
PRI
0 - 1
CEN
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 1
PRI
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MOT
1 - 2
PRI
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
MIS
4 - 0
PRI
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
PRI
1 - 0
EXT
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
TOW
1 - 0
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
BRH
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 1
BOT
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MIS
0 - 3
BOT
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |