Prison Service vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
62.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prison Service
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
PSE
0 - 4
CEN
18%
21%
61%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
CAL
2 - 1
PSE
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
PSE
0 - 4
ATH
18%
21%
61%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CUN
1 - 0
PSE
71%
16%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PSE
2 - 2
LHR
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2025 |
POI
1 - 3
DEF
11%
19%
70%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
TFP
0 - 4
DEF
19%
21%
60%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
DEF
3 - 0
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
CEN
0 - 1
DEF
37%
23%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
DEF
5 - 1
CAL
63%
20%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |