Principat vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
27.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Principat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
PRI
0 - 4
FCO
17%
20%
63%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FCE
2 - 2
PRI
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PRI
0 - 1
INT
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FCO
3 - 2
PRI
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PRI
0 - 2
FCE
32%
22%
46%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PEN
5 - 3
ATL
37%
20%
43%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
UEE
0 - 2
PEN
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 3
ORD
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | +4 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 0
FCR
14%
16%
71%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LAM
2 - 4
PEN
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +2 |