Principat II vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Principat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
PRI
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PRI
2 - 5
CAS
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
UEE
6 - 0
PRI
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PRI
1 - 2
FCS
19%
21%
60%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PRI
1 - 4
SCO
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 2
FCE
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LUS
8 - 0
PEN
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 3
LAM
34%
23%
44%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
PEN
76%
15%
10%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 5
CAS
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |