Principat II vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Principat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
FCR
0 - 0
PRI
71%
16%
13%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
PRI
0 - 3
UEE
23%
22%
56%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
QES
5 - 0
PRI
42%
23%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
PRI
1 - 1
ATL
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CAS
5 - 0
PRI
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
UEE
5 - 0
PEN
69%
18%
14%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 4
ATL
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CAS
4 - 3
PEN
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 6
FCR
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |