Primorac Biograd vs Zmaj Makarska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
9º
6º
34
8º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primorac Biograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
PRB
1 - 4
NKV
7%
15%
78%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VOD
1 - 1
PRB
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
PRB
2 - 3
JUN
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
GOS
0 - 1
PRB
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
PRB
2 - 1
NKH
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
JUN
3 - 0
MAK
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
0 - 5
NKH
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -3 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPL
1 - 0
MAK
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
MAK
4 - 2
NER
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HNK
3 - 2
MAK
79%
15%
7%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |