Primer Toque CF vs Peñiscola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
17.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primer Toque CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 0
PTQ
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PTQ
2 - 1
BEN
83%
11%
7%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
PTQ
9 - 1
XCR
93%
5%
2%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
PTQ
6 - 1
JAL
93%
5%
2%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PTQ
1 - 0
HVR
92%
6%
2%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Peñiscola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
MOR
55%
21%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ORP
7 - 0
PEN
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 1
MOR
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 2
PEN
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 3
TRA
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |