Primavera SP vs Fernandópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 1
PRI
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
PRI
0 - 1
ATI
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PRI
0 - 1
SAO
46%
26%
29%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 2
PRI
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 2
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 0
FER
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
FER
4 - 2
GRÊ
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
FER
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FER
0 - 0
FLA
17%
22%
60%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |