Primavera SP vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
INT
2 - 1
PRI
66%
22%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
PRI
1 - 2
XVD
13%
22%
65%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
PRI
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
PRI
0 - 1
NOR
21%
26%
53%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
COM
3 - 2
PRI
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
XVD
3 - 1
AUD
61%
22%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
AUD
2 - 1
INT
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
AUD
60%
22%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
AUD
0 - 2
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
RIO
3 - 1
AUD
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |