Prevalle vs Gavardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+164%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prevalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 3
PRE
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 2
PRE
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PRE
4 - 0
PEN
83%
12%
6%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 0
ORA
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
OME
1 - 1
PRE
13%
18%
70%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Gavardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
GAV
1 - 2
PIA
24%
22%
55%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
GAV
34%
23%
44%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 0
ORA
21%
22%
58%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +3 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GAV
4 - 2
OME
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
GIO
3 - 2
GAV
83%
11%
5%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |