Prevalle vs Cazzagobornato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prevalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 2
PRE
12%
17%
71%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PRE
2 - 1
CAP
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
PRE
25%
22%
52%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PRE
1 - 2
CEL
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SER
0 - 2
PRE
9%
16%
75%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Cazzagobornato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAZ
2 - 1
PIA
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 3
CAZ
13%
18%
69%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAZ
3 - 2
ORA
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OME
0 - 1
CAZ
14%
19%
68%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 0
GIO
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |