Preußen Münster II vs Finnentrop/Bamenohl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
3º
8º
6º
44
5º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
79% | |
|
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preußen Münster II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
GIE
1 - 1
PRE
31%
23%
45%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PRE
1 - 1
TDO
92%
6%
2%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ERH
0 - 0
PRE
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PRE
3 - 0
TVC
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PRE
0 - 3
WIE
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SFB
1 - 2
SPR
45%
21%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 3
SFB
36%
22%
43%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
3 - 3
ERK
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 3
SFB
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
STE
6 - 1
SFB
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | 0 |