Pretoria University vs Highbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+488%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
12º
10º
38
8º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ORC
1 - 0
PRE
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 29 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 1
BAR
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UCF
0 - 0
PRE
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 1
JDR
47%
28%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PCF
0 - 1
PRE
32%
30%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Highbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MIL
2 - 1
HIG
84%
11%
6%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
HIG
1 - 3
UCF
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
HIG
71%
19%
11%
|
9 | 68 | 59 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HIG
0 - 1
ORC
11%
16%
74%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CST
1 - 0
HIG
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 62 | 52 | -1 |