Pretoria University vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
POL
2 - 2
PRE
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
PRE
0 - 3
SUN
25%
29%
46%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COS
1 - 0
PRE
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
PRE
1 - 2
CHI
34%
31%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BLO
1 - 1
PRE
48%
28%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 0
COS
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
GOL
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 0
FRE
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
MPU
2 - 4
GOL
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |