Pretoria University vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
PLS
1 - 0
PRE
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
PRE
2 - 0
BLO
33%
29%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
PRE
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
PRE
0 - 1
SSU
27%
29%
44%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 0
PRE
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
GOL
0 - 1
FRE
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
POL
1 - 2
GOL
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GOL
0 - 1
SUN
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
BID
1 - 0
GOL
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
GOL
1 - 1
AJA
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |