Preston North End vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SHE
3 - 2
PNE
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
LEE
3 - 0
PNE
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
PNE
2 - 3
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PNE
2 - 2
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
LEE
0 - 2
PNE
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MID
0 - 0
SWA
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
MID
2 - 0
BOL
63%
24%
14%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 0
MID
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
LEE
0 - 0
MID
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
MID
2 - 1
ROC
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |