Preston North End vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1961 |
PNE
1 - 0
HUR
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1961 |
NEW
0 - 2
PNE
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1961 |
PNE
2 - 0
LUT
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1961 |
CHA
4 - 0
PNE
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1961 |
PNE
4 - 1
SCU
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1961 |
NEW
3 - 4
MID
65%
17%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1961 |
MID
2 - 3
LEY
52%
22%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1961 |
DER
3 - 2
MID
55%
20%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1961 |
NOR
5 - 4
MID
56%
22%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1961 |
MID
2 - 2
STO
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |