Preston North End vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
BOL
2 - 2
PNE
69%
18%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
PNE
1 - 1
BRA
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1921 |
BRA
6 - 2
PNE
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
PNE
1 - 1
SUN
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1921 |
ARS
2 - 1
PNE
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 2
SHE
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
LIV
3 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1921 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1921 |
ARS
2 - 1
PNE
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |