Preston Lions vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
MAR
2 - 0
PLI
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
PLI
1 - 0
HEU
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
STG
3 - 2
PLI
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
PLI
3 - 2
SOU
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1990 |
MAR
2 - 1
PLI
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
MEL
3 - 0
API
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
SGC
3 - 4
MEL
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
MEL
2 - 0
SYD
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
SOU
1 - 1
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1990 |
MEL
1 - 2
SYD
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |