Preston Lions vs Fawkner Blues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 0
PLI
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
PLI
3 - 2
GRE
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +4 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
OAK
1 - 2
PLI
37%
26%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
WES
0 - 1
PLI
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
AIS
2 - 1
PLI
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fawkner Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
FAB
1 - 0
AIS
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
OAK
2 - 1
FAB
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
FAB
1 - 0
SOU
16%
24%
60%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +4 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
HUM
2 - 0
FAB
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
FAB
0 - 6
HEU
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -2 |